Sunday, September 28, 2008

Week Four

It was our first bye week, so our player choices were a bit limited. Still, we were projected for 118.5 points. Ashley was projected for 132.5 points. Both of us have attempted to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory at various points, and now we're currently sitting at 72.5-78. The crazy thing is that we have the Ravens D/ST playing this week, and she's got the Steelers D/ST - and they're playing each other tomorrow night! Unless the Ravens manage to do something spectacular on the field, I think we're looking at going to 1-3. Of course, we benched Chris Johnson thinking he wouldn't be able to get anything done on the ground against the Minnesota defense, and he put up as many points as all our other running backs COMBINED. Come ON!

7 comments:

Knot said...

I never trust ESPN's points or projections.

Knot

Courtney said...

What do you use then to decide who to play? I mean, we like football, but we don't know enough about all the teams to make decisions without any outside analysis.

Matt Silverthorn said...

We didn't use any projections in deciding who to bench. We only had two decision to make: which quarterback to bench, and which running back to bench. We picked the correct quarterback, Rivers instead of Rodgers. We benched Chris Johnson because Minnesota has one of the toughest rushing defenses in the league, and LenDale White had gotten all of the goal line carries for Tennessee thus far this season. It would figure that White would fumble on the goal line and Johnson would get his first goal line carry of the season. Very annoying.

Courtney said...

Well I'm not just talking about this week, I'm talking about in general. If ESPN can't be trusted (and they obviously can't) then what are we supposed to use for a guideline besides dumb luck?

Eric said...

there are probably a half dozen major fantasy editors on espn, who each write their own columns. and some of their opinions conflict with others. so if you read several of those, you can get a more rounded view.

you can also check fantasy expert advice on yahoo sports, accuscore, etc. to get even more differing opinions.

Courtney said...

Accuscore will give you player data? I thought it only computer team matchups.

Eric said...

accuscore will give you projections for an individual player for the season, or even per game. they also have a nifty bar graph to show the historical values and their projections for the remainder of the season (game by game).

but again, then you have to question whether or not you agree with the computer modeling they've done. for instance, reggie bush was worth over 20 pts in week 1, which was computed as 2% likely. he was projected to never break 14 pts (in a single game) for the rest of the season. yet, he did even better in week 3.

accuscore was originally projecting bush to end the season as the 30th (or so) overall rb. now he's moved up to #17. and other sites project him to finish the season top 10...